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International property consultants DTZ Debenham Tie Leung gives an
overview on how the Klang Valley property market in 1st Quarter 2006
Business space (office)
|
Existing Stock |
|
|
Rents |
|
'000 sf |
QQQ chg |
|
'000 sf |
QQQ chg |
| Golden Triangle |
24,295 |
0.0% |
Prime city centre |
5.14 |
0.0% |
| Central Commercial Area |
14,708 |
0.0% |
Secondary city centre |
3.50 |
0.0% |
| Decentralised Areas |
14,006 |
5.4% |
|
|
|
| Other Areas in Klang Valley |
11,441 |
-0.5% |
|
|
|
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
 |
Improving outlook for the office market
The outlook of the Kuala Lumpur office market continues to
improve with demand strengthening resulting from corporate
expansions.
As at end 2Q 2006, the cumulative office supply in the Klang
Valley was at 64.4 mil sf. The additional supply was due to the
completion of Plaza Sentral Phase II. It comprises four blocks
of office towers offering a combined nett lettable area of almost
650,000 sf. The reduction in the total supply in other areas in
the Klang Valley by 0.5% was due to the reclassification of
Menara Palas to the Decentralised Area.
Limited office supply in the year bodes well for the rental market
to remain firm, which has remained at an average of
RM5.14 psf per month for prime buildings and RM3.50 psf per
month for secondary buildings. In the Golden Triangle business
district, demand is seen as outpacing supply due to scarcity
of land, and could push prime rentals further up.
However the same cannot be said of buildings in the central
commercial and decentralised areas. In the next 12 months,
the availability of substantial new stock could lead to competition
for more competitive rentals. In 2007, new supply will add
1.5 mil sf to the current stock with completions expected of
several key projects namely Centrepoint in Midvalley and Capital
Square along Jln Munshi Abdullah within the Central Commercial
Area.
Currently, overall average vacancy of office space in the Klang
Valley is 14%. In KLC, average vacancy remained stable at
about 12%.
During the quarter, leasing activities came mainly from the
business and services sector and dominated by several notable
big transactions such Singapore Airlines' relocation to Multi
Purpose Building (11,890 sf), AEON Malaysia at Menara Olympia
(60,000 sf) and The University of Nottingham Malaysia
Campus at the newly-opened Chulan Tower (12,000 sf).
In summary, the local office market has benefited from more
business activities resulting from the gradual liberalisation in
the capital market and the business environment in general.
Starting with allowing foreign fund managers and brokerage to
open up offices here, followed by the de-pegging of the Ringgit
and on-going incentives for operational headquarters and representative
offices, the government has played an active role in
promoting Kuala Lumpur as a regional hub and attracting quality
investors.
Barring any unforeseen events on the external front, the feelgood
scenario in the office market is expected to prevail in the
short to medium term.
Key Leasing Transactions 2Q2006
| Company |
Buildings |
NLA Leased |
| Singapore Airlines |
Menara Multi Purpose (CCA) |
11,890 sf |
| AEON Malaysia |
Menara Olympia (CCA) |
60,000 sf |
| University of Nottingham Malaysia Campus |
Chulan Tower (GT) |
12,000 sf |
| Petra Equities Management Sdn Bhd |
Wisma UOA Bangsar (DC) |
NA |
Source: DTZ Research Sept 2006
Retail
|
Existing Stock |
|
|
Rents |
|
'000 sf |
QQQ chg |
|
'000 sf |
| Overall Klang Valley |
32,324 |
4.4% |
KLC (city centre) |
RM18-40 |
| KLC |
17,276 |
2.0% |
Suburban(PJ) |
RM10-28 |
| Suburban Area |
15,048 |
7.2% |
|
|
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Consumers cautious of inflation
Consumer sentiment had been spiked by inflationary worries
since late last year with a series of events, namely price hikes
in fuel and more recently electricity tariff (12% increase) and
interest rates, which had increased by 75 basis points since
the beginning of the year. This is reflected in the CSI, the primary
barometer for projecting future retail sales, which has
fallen to 90.1 point, down 26 points.
Despite uncertainties, the Bank Negara maintained the economy
will grow at about 5.5% in 2006 on the back of the various
projects announced to be implemented under the 9th Malaysia
Plan. The country is also banking on the projected increase
in tourist arrivals targeted at 17.5 millions this year (up
from 16.4 mil. in 2005), as a built up to Visit Malaysia Year
2007, to mitigate any domestic slowdown in spending.
Over the review period, several new projects were completed,
namely Aeon Taman Equine Shopping Centre and the physical
completion of Cineleisure at Mutiara Damansara. In total,
some 1.32 mil sf was added to total stock. Over the last few
years, Jusco, a retailer and the developer of Aeon Taman
Equine, has quietly emerged as one of the most active developer
of shopping centres in the country with 6 completed projects
across the country and a few being planned.
Space demand continued to be relatively strong and a few
major leases were noted including MJ store by Metrojaya
(60,000 sf) at The Curve, and Robinson Department Store of
Singapore (80,000 sf) that is signing into The Garden at Mid-
Valley. New American fashion brands are also coming into the
market, such as forever 21, which has a new store in One
Utama, whilst Banana Republic and The Gap will be coming to
The Pavilion.
On the rental front, there was no discernable movement as
business sentiment remained cautious.
In their latest announcement, Suria KLCC reported improved
rental revenue for their 1st Quarter performance ending 30th
June 2006 although no specific increase was disclosed.
In terms of capital value, Plaza Ampang, a 248,000 sf secondary
property was reported to be sold to AP Land for a sum of
RM70 mil, and analysed at RM281 psf. It is believed that the
project will be upgraded and repositioned together with Capital
Square, Empire Tower and Crown Princess as part of a comprehensive
plan.
Residential
Major Residentail Launches in 2Q06
| Development |
No. Units |
Type of Property |
Pricing(Range/Average) |
| Mont Kiara Meridin |
228 |
Condominium |
RM360 - 450 psf |
| Hampshire Residences |
388 |
Condominium |
RM620 psf |
| Boulvard Tower |
408 |
Service Apartment |
RM420 psf |
Source: DTZ Research Sept 2006
Positive Outlook Under 9th Malaysia Plan
The 2Q saw the release of the 9th Malaysia Plan which announced
that the new housing requirement for the country
will be some 709,400 units over the duration of the 2006-
2010 period (compared to 844,000 units completed in 2001-
2005). Of this, some 19% or 136,000 units will be concentrated
in Selangor, with Kuala Lumpur accounting for another
32,800 units. Of these, it is estimated that some 32% of
these will be high cost units, with 41.8% in the low medium
and medium cost category. As per past plans, the strategic
thrust driving this will be the private sector, with the government
emphasizing on the provision of efficient and adequate
urban services toward creating a conducive environment.
Concerns on rising inflation in the Quarter resulting from the
price increases of key consumer goods and services have
contributed to caution in the residential sub-sector in the first
half of the year. House buyers are wary about trends in interest
rates and wait for uncertainty in the economic environment
to settle before making firm commitment on major capital
expenditure. As a result, developers have become more
cautious, delaying projects or launching fewer numbers of
units to reduce development risks.
On the upside, the strengthening of the Ringgit and the
RM200 billion development funds allocated under the 9th
Malaysia Plan should provide a kick start to the economy that
have being trying to find some direction amidst the absence
of major fiscal initiative from the Government since the cancellation
of a few major infrastructure projects over the last 2
years.
During the review period, new launches were confined to mid
range and luxury condominiums and apartments in established
locations. Most of these were already in the market
after a pre-launch but were only officially launched in 2Q
2006. Sunrise Bhd launched the low density 31-storey Mont
Kiara Meridin comprising 216 apartment units priced between
RM650,000 and RM1.75 mil per unit.
Another high-end project launched in the same period was
Hampshire Residences within the KLCC vicinity, and are
priced between RM500,000 and RM1.65 mil per unit. Meanwhile,
the Ireka Group witnessed the soft launch of its luxury
project in Mont Kiara called Tiffani by I-ZEN. These units are
priced from RM230,000 up to RM4.6 mil per unit. The launch
of The Pavilion Residence priced at an average of RM1,000
psf at Jalan Bukit Bintang also received reasonable reception
from buyers, setting a benchmark price for the location and
the concept of a super luxurious residential project within a
mixed development.
Rental trend remain stable with average rate for furnished
high end apartment commanding RM3-4.50 psf psf/m whilst
capital value trend is RM485 psf.
In the same period, the Malaysia My Second Home (MM2H)
program was given a facelift. Property developers have been
among the main supporters of the MM2H since it was introduced
as the Silver Hair Program in 1996. Under this program,
foreign citizens along with their spouses and children
are allowed to reside and retire in the country provided they
fulfill a list of criteria. Each participant is allowed to purchase
up to two units of residential houses at a minimum price of
RM150,000 to RM350,000 and above each, depending on
the location of the property.
Although buying a home is not a requirement, developers are
always hopeful that those coming in under the program
would consider property a worthwhile investment due to the
lower property prices here than in the developed countries.
Property consultants, or more bluntly, real estate agents also
stand to gain when MM2H participants choose to buy or rent
a secondary unit. The contributions of MM2H participants
towards the retail, tourism and service sectors are seen as
important by both the government and the private sector..
Besides the name change, the program has been moved
from the Home Affairs Ministry to the Tourism Ministry.
The second half will see a return of interest in the residential
market as the economic trend become more settled and the
implementation of development projects kick in and flow
through to the rest of the economy.
Investment
Major Investment Sales in 2Q06
| Property, Location |
Type |
En-block Price (RM mil) |
Price psf (RM) |
| MAS , KL |
Office |
130 |
481 |
| Hotel Grand Centrepoint, KL |
Hotel |
12.5 |
125,000/room |
| Ferringhi Beach Hotel, Penang Hotel |
Hotel |
43 |
124,600/room |
| Crown Jewel Hotel, Penang Hotel |
Hotel |
40 |
142,857/room |
Source: DTZ Research Sept 2006
Investment market remains active
During
the first quarter, the investment market continued to be extremely
active with some 22 properties being transacted across the country with
an aggregated value of RM2.08 billion. Featured prominently during this
period is Amanah Raya which purchased 9 of these assets for their
proposed REIT and is setting the benchmark for such structured sale and
lease back deals. These assets ranged from a retail mall, industrial
assets, to 3 hotels.
The
REITs were also active with AmFirst Property Trust purchasing Wisma
Merais whilst Mapletree Logistic Trust Management Ltd of Singapore
secured 3 logistic properties in Subang/Shah Alam. The quarter also saw
the listing of Tower REIT by Guocoland (M) Bhd which is part of the
Hong Leong Group which comprises 2 prime office buildings located in
Jalan Kia Peng and Jalan Semantan in Damansara Heights.
Interestingly
the range of assets transacted involved not just the traditional office
and retail sectors but are seeing more industrial and even hospitality
sectors. The latter being the sale and lease back of 3 hotels, one each
in Langkawi Island, Alor Setar and Cherating, by the Holiday Villa
chain to Amanah Raya Bhd at graduating yields, from 6.7% for the first
year to 7.3% by the 10th year.
Axis
REIT continued it aggressive growth in its portfolio with another
strategic acquisition involving a warehouse belonging to MISC Logistic
in Klang at a yield of 12.8%. Since it listing, this fund has added 3
new assets to its initial portfolio.
Going
forward, we do see a convergence of yield rates across the various
sectors and continuing interests by investors although this will be
somewhat affected by the hikes in interest rate which is undergoing an
upward cycle.
EXPLANATORY NOTES
AREA TAXANOMY
Study Area
Klang Valley & Environs (KVE) is located centrally within the
State of Selangor. KV itself accommodates the Kuala Lumpur
City (KLC) and the State's District of Petaling, Klang,
Gombak and Hulu Langat. Its environs would include surrounding
growth areas such as Cyberjaya, Putrajaya City and
the Sepang localities. The KVE property market is divided
into two distinct geographical areas: KLC and other areas in
KVE (OKVE).
Business Space (office)
The office market in KLC is sub-divided into three submarkets:
Central Commercial Area (CCA), Golden Triangle
(GT) and Decentralised Areas (DA). DA will comprise areas
fringing the city centre. The office market within OKV is subdivided
into six sub-markets - Petaling Jaya (PJ, Subang
Jaya (SJ), Shah Alam (SA), Klang, Puchong and Ampang.
Retail
Retail complexes within city and main town centres are referred
to as "urban areas". Those located within commercial
areas of residential estates in KV, other than city or town
centres, are defined as "suburban".
STOCK
Business Space (office)
Refers to purpose-built office or mixed-use premises with net
lettable areas of 50,000 sq ft or more. It excludes buildings
developed and solely used by Federal and State Government
or government-related organisations. The stock is defined
into two distinct categories as follows:
Prime - buildings are those with advanced "Building Automation
System", high level of computerised M&E and 'state-ofthe-
art' telecommunication.
Secondary - buildings are those with average/basic office
accommodation.
Retail
Stock includes purpose-built shopping complexes with net
lettable areas of 50,000 sq ft or more. The stock is defined
into two distinct categories as follows:
Prime - complexes with good layout, design, management,
maintenance, image, facilities, internal finishes and tenant
mix, and high-level computerised M&E.
Secondary - complexes that provide average/basic retail
space.
NEW SUPPLY
Refers to the supply of new properties confirmed i.e. projects
with planning approval and there are definite plans to proceed
with the development or under construction at the time
of reporting. The year for new supply refers to the year in
which the projects/units are expected to receive Certificate of
Fitness for occupation.
ABSORPTION
Refers to the total number of net take up of accommodation
or units in new projects being leased or sold. Resale of units
is excluded.
RENTS
Average gross rents are computed based on a basket of
properties, inclusive of service charges. Office - typical net
floor size adopted are between 2,000 sq ft and 5,000 sq ft.
Retail - only rents of prime speciality retail shops, e.g. those
with good frontage or pedestrian footage, are included in the
publication.
MARKET PRICES
Market prices are reported on per sq ft (psf) basis on net floor
areas. The office and retail market are reflective of en bloc
sales evidence (referring to the sale of entire land and building).
This
report should not be used as a basis for entering into transactions
without seeking further qualified professional advice. Whilst facts
have been rigorously checked, DTZ Nawawi Tie Leung, or its related
companies, will take no responsibility for any damage or loss suffered
as a result of any inadvertent inaccuracy or incorrectness within the
report. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in
any form or means by any person or persons without the expressed
written permission of the author. DTZ has over 8,000 staff operating from 193 offices in 46 countries. Our internet address is www.dtzresearch.com.
For further information please contact

DTZ Nawawi Tie Leung,
32.03 Level 32 Menara Citibank,
165 Jalan Ampang, 50450 Kuala Lumpur.
Tel: +6 03 2161 7228
Fax: +6 03 2161 1633
Email: mail@dtz.com.my
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